Artificial Intelligence: Future possibilities
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More carefully bounded scientific assistance
Possible future · No delivery date predicted · near-term possibility; no promised delivery date or outcome.
Near-term progress may come from better tools for checking predictions and integrating them into existing research workflows. Benefits depend on experimental validation and the cost of correcting errors; a more capable model alone does not guarantee a better scientific outcome.
AlphaFold research programme and AlphaFold 3 announcement — Google DeepMind · Checked
Broader systems with dependable limits
Possible future · Long-term possibility; unresolved · long-term possibility; no promised delivery date or outcome.
Systems that transfer useful skills between very different environments remain a long-term possibility. Whether, when or how broadly this can be achieved is uncertain. The original Dartmouth ambitions are a historical research agenda, not a timetable for general intelligence.
Dartmouth summer research proposal — McCarthy, Minsky, Rochester and Shannon / Stanford archive · Source date: 1955-08-31 · Checked